Análisis Ajax vs AZ Alkmaar
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
89%
Probabilidad de victoria
3.95
Goles esperados
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.5%
10-1
0.2%
+9
0.7%
8-0
1.2%
9-1
0.4%
10-2
0.1%
+8
1.7%
7-0
2.5%
8-1
1%
9-2
0.2%
10-3
<0%
+7
3.7%
6-0
4.4%
7-1
2.1%
8-2
0.4%
9-3
0.1%
+6
6.9%
5-0
6.6%
6-1
3.7%
7-2
0.9%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
11.3%
4-0
8.4%
5-1
5.6%
6-2
1.5%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
15.8%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
7.1%
5-2
2.4%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
18.5%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
12.8%
7%
Empate
0-0
0.8%
1-1
2.8%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
7%
3.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.84
Goles esperados
0-1
0.7%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
2.7%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-8%
+6%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 dic. 1968 |
DWS
2 - 1
AJA
24%
26%
51%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 dic. 1968 |
PSV
0 - 1
AJA
25%
25%
49%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 nov. 1968 |
FEN
0 - 2
AJA
35%
26%
39%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 nov. 1968 |
MVV
2 - 2
AJA
18%
25%
58%
|
88 | 65 | 23 | 0 |
| 17 nov. 1968 |
AJA
0 - 1
FEY
64%
19%
17%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
Partidos
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 dic. 1968 |
AZA
1 - 1
FOR
60%
21%
18%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 dic. 1968 |
SPA
3 - 1
AZA
65%
18%
16%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 nov. 1968 |
AZA
2 - 0
NAC
55%
23%
22%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 nov. 1968 |
GAE
5 - 0
AZA
72%
16%
12%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | -1 |
| 03 nov. 1968 |
AZA
1 - 1
GRO
54%
25%
21%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |