Análisis Ajax vs Budapest Honved
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
89%
Probabilidad de victoria
3.65
Goles esperados
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.5%
8-0
1%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.3%
7-0
2.2%
8-1
0.7%
9-2
0.1%
+7
3%
6-0
4.3%
7-1
1.5%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
6.1%
5-0
7%
6-1
2.9%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
10.6%
4-0
9.6%
5-1
4.9%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
+4
15.6%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
6.7%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.1%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.9%
7.4%
Empate
0-0
1.3%
1-1
3.3%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
7.4%
3.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.69
Goles esperados
0-1
0.9%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
2.6%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
2-5
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 dic. 1978 |
AJA
7 - 3
VOL
83%
11%
5%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 26 nov. 1978 |
ADO
0 - 0
AJA
24%
26%
50%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 nov. 1978 |
BUD
4 - 1
AJA
24%
23%
53%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 nov. 1978 |
AJA
1 - 2
RJC
78%
14%
8%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 nov. 1978 |
SPA
1 - 0
AJA
29%
26%
45%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
Partidos
Budapest Honved
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 nov. 1978 |
BUD
4 - 1
AJA
24%
23%
53%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 nov. 1978 |
TIM
2 - 0
BUD
38%
23%
39%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | -1 |
| 18 oct. 1978 |
BUD
4 - 0
TIM
73%
15%
12%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 sep. 1978 |
ADA
2 - 2
BUD
40%
23%
37%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 sep. 1978 |
BUD
6 - 0
ADA
68%
17%
15%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | +1 |