Análisis Ajax vs Excelsior
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probability of handicap
87.5%
Win probability
3.23
Goles esperados
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.6%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
2%
6-0
3.5%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.5%
5-0
6.5%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.8%
4-0
10.1%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.4%
3-0
12.5%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.5%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.3%
8.8%
Empate
0-0
2.2%
1-1
4.2%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
8.8%
3.7%
Win probability
0.58
Goles esperados
0-1
1.3%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
2.9%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+6%
+7%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 dic. 1979 |
SPA
3 - 4
AJA
23%
25%
52%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 dic. 1979 |
AJA
3 - 0
ADO
84%
11%
6%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 nov. 1979 |
MVV
0 - 2
AJA
19%
24%
57%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 nov. 1979 |
TWE
1 - 0
AJA
49%
24%
27%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 nov. 1979 |
AJA
4 - 1
PSV
61%
20%
19%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
Partidos
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 dic. 1979 |
WIL
3 - 1
EXC
48%
28%
24%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 dic. 1979 |
EXC
3 - 1
SPA
43%
27%
30%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | +1 |
| 25 nov. 1979 |
ADO
1 - 2
EXC
67%
20%
13%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | +1 |
| 11 nov. 1979 |
EXC
0 - 0
MVV
54%
25%
22%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 nov. 1979 |
PSV
1 - 1
EXC
82%
13%
6%
|
66 | 88 | 22 | +1 |