Análisis Ajax vs Excelsior
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probability of handicap
90%
Win probability
3.72
Goles esperados
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.5%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.6%
8-0
1.1%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.5%
7-0
2.5%
8-1
0.8%
9-2
0.1%
+7
3.3%
6-0
4.6%
7-1
1.6%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
6.5%
5-0
7.5%
6-1
3%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
11.1%
4-0
10%
5-1
4.9%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
+4
16.1%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
6.6%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.2%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.2%
6.8%
Empate
0-0
1.3%
1-1
3.1%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
6.8%
3%
Win probability
0.66
Goles esperados
0-1
0.8%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
2.3%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+6%
+5%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 abr. 1984 |
RJC
1 - 1
AJA
24%
23%
53%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 abr. 1984 |
AJA
1 - 0
PSV
67%
17%
16%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 abr. 1984 |
AZA
1 - 1
AJA
33%
25%
43%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 abr. 1984 |
AJA
3 - 1
GAE
90%
7%
3%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 abr. 1984 |
AJA
5 - 2
BOS
93%
5%
2%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
Partidos
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 abr. 1984 |
EXC
3 - 0
GRO
42%
26%
32%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 abr. 1984 |
HFC
2 - 2
EXC
68%
19%
13%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 abr. 1984 |
EXC
0 - 2
FEY
22%
24%
55%
|
68 | 88 | 20 | 0 |
| 07 abr. 1984 |
FOR
2 - 0
EXC
48%
26%
27%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 abr. 1984 |
EXC
1 - 4
HEL
72%
17%
11%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | -1 |