Eredivisie Eredivisie Jor. 26

Análisis Ajax vs Excelsior

Ajax Excelsior
86 ELO 74
-2.8% Tilt 18.4%
107º Ranking ELO general 560º
Ranking ELO país 17º
Probabilidad ELO de victoria
68.3%
Ajax
19.7%
Empate
12%
Excelsior

Resultados posibles

Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probability of handicap
68.3%
Win probability
Ajax
2.03
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
9%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.8%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
19.7%
Empate
0-0
6.4%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.7%
12%
Win probability
Excelsior
0.71
Goles esperados
0-1
4.6%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%

Gráfica ELO/Inclinación

ELO76.977.778.479.279.980.681.482.182.983.684.485.185.886.687.388.1-18.4%-16.8%-15.2%-13.7%-12.1%-10.5%-9%-7.4%-5.8%-4.3%-2.7%-1.2%0.4%2%3.5%5.1%6.7%8.2%9.8%11.4%
← Defensivo Tilt Ofensivo →
Ajax
+1%
+11%
Excelsior

Progresión del ELO

63º67º71º75º79º83º87ºApr .14Jul .14Oct .14Feb .15
Ajax
Excelsior
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO

Partidos

Ajax
Ajax
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 mar. 2015
PSV
PSV
1 - 3
Ajax
AJA
40%
24%
36%
85 83 2 0
26 feb. 2015
WAR
Legia Warszawa
0 - 3
Ajax
AJA
29%
23%
48%
85 77 8 0
22 feb. 2015
WIL
Willem II
1 - 1
Ajax
AJA
24%
23%
53%
85 73 12 0
19 feb. 2015
AJA
Ajax
1 - 0
Legia Warszawa
WAR
64%
21%
15%
85 78 7 0
15 feb. 2015
AJA
Ajax
4 - 2
Twente
TWE
56%
23%
21%
85 81 4 0

Partidos

Excelsior
Excelsior
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 mar. 2015
EXC
Excelsior
3 - 0
Heerenveen
SCH
27%
24%
49%
72 81 9 0
22 feb. 2015
FEY
Feyenoord
3 - 2
Excelsior
EXC
62%
21%
17%
73 81 8 -1
14 feb. 2015
EXC
Excelsior
1 - 1
Groningen
GRO
31%
24%
45%
73 80 7 0
07 feb. 2015
TWE
Twente
1 - 3
Excelsior
EXC
62%
22%
17%
72 81 9 +1
03 feb. 2015
GAE
Go Ahead Eagles
0 - 0
Excelsior
EXC
49%
25%
26%
72 72 0 0