Análisis Ajax vs Excelsior
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
74.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.15
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.6%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.9%
2-0
15.7%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
24.9%
17.3%
Empate
0-0
6.8%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
17.3%
8%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.54
Goles esperados
0-1
3.7%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+1%
+11%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 feb. 2016 |
GRO
1 - 2
AJA
24%
26%
51%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 feb. 2016 |
AJA
2 - 1
FEY
53%
24%
23%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 ene. 2016 |
RJC
2 - 2
AJA
18%
24%
59%
|
85 | 69 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 ene. 2016 |
AJA
0 - 0
HER
62%
21%
17%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 ene. 2016 |
AJA
1 - 0
VIT
58%
22%
20%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
Partidos
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 feb. 2016 |
EXC
2 - 4
ADO
37%
26%
37%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 feb. 2016 |
EXC
0 - 0
WIL
39%
26%
35%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | +1 |
| 30 ene. 2016 |
VIT
0 - 0
EXC
67%
20%
13%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 ene. 2016 |
EXC
1 - 3
PSV
16%
20%
64%
|
68 | 84 | 16 | -1 |
| 23 ene. 2016 |
EXC
0 - 1
RJC
50%
24%
27%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |