Análisis Ajax vs Den Bosch
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
89.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
3.4
Goles esperados
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1%
7-0
2%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.5%
6-0
4.1%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.1%
+6
5.3%
5-0
7.2%
6-1
2.3%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
9.9%
4-0
10.7%
5-1
4%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
15.4%
3-0
12.5%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.7%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.9%
7.7%
Empate
0-0
1.9%
1-1
3.6%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
7.6%
3.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.56
Goles esperados
0-1
1.1%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
2.4%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+3%
+4%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 sep. 1987 |
AJA
4 - 2
ADO
91%
6%
2%
|
88 | 62 | 26 | 0 |
| 16 sep. 1987 |
AJA
4 - 0
DUN
96%
3%
1%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 13 sep. 1987 |
UTR
2 - 1
AJA
19%
22%
59%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 sep. 1987 |
AJA
6 - 1
TWE
89%
8%
3%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 sep. 1987 |
AJA
5 - 3
FCD
96%
3%
1%
|
88 | 56 | 32 | 0 |
Partidos
Den Bosch
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 sep. 1987 |
BOS
2 - 3
GRO
47%
27%
26%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 sep. 1987 |
ADO
2 - 3
BOS
50%
26%
23%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 sep. 1987 |
BOS
0 - 1
HFC
51%
26%
23%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 ago. 1987 |
UTR
2 - 2
BOS
64%
20%
15%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 ago. 1987 |
BOS
1 - 1
ZWO
49%
24%
27%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |