Análisis Ajax vs Den Bosch
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
83.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.88
Goles esperados
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.1%
5-0
5%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.7%
4-0
8.7%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.3%
3-0
12.1%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.5%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.1%
11.3%
Empate
0-0
3%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.3%
5.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.61
Goles esperados
0-1
1.9%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.1%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+6%
+3%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 dic. 1988 |
HFC
0 - 1
AJA
19%
24%
57%
|
87 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 nov. 1988 |
AJA
2 - 0
VOL
86%
10%
4%
|
87 | 70 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 nov. 1988 |
FEY
1 - 2
AJA
37%
24%
38%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 nov. 1988 |
AJA
4 - 0
MVV
88%
9%
4%
|
87 | 59 | 28 | 0 |
| 30 oct. 1988 |
UTR
1 - 1
AJA
22%
24%
54%
|
87 | 72 | 15 | 0 |
Partidos
Den Bosch
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 dic. 1988 |
BOS
1 - 1
BVV
60%
23%
17%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 nov. 1988 |
WIL
1 - 3
BOS
54%
23%
23%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 nov. 1988 |
BOS
0 - 3
FOR
45%
28%
28%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 nov. 1988 |
BOS
1 - 4
VVV
51%
27%
21%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 oct. 1988 |
VOL
2 - 0
BOS
53%
23%
24%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |