Análisis Ajax vs Erzgebirge Aue
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
79.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.9
Goles esperados
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.8%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.1%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.4%
3-0
10%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.4%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.4%
12.6%
Empate
0-0
2.4%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
12.6%
7.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.81
Goles esperados
0-1
2%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-4%
-21%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 nov. 1957 |
GRO
0 - 1
AJA
36%
23%
42%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 nov. 1957 |
ERZ
1 - 3
AJA
32%
23%
45%
|
84 | 61 | 23 | 0 |
| 10 nov. 1957 |
AJA
3 - 1
NAC
72%
16%
12%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 nov. 1957 |
BOS
0 - 1
AJA
26%
21%
53%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 oct. 1957 |
AJA
3 - 4
DWS
74%
15%
11%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
Partidos
Erzgebirge Aue
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 nov. 1957 |
ERZ
1 - 3
AJA
32%
23%
45%
|
61 | 84 | 23 | 0 |
| 15 oct. 1957 |
ERZ
1 - 1
GWA
48%
20%
31%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | +1 |
| 13 oct. 1957 |
ERZ
3 - 1
GWA
46%
21%
34%
|
59 | 73 | 14 | +1 |
| 11 sep. 1957 |
GWA
3 - 1
ERZ
71%
15%
14%
|
59 | 73 | 14 | 0 |