Análisis Ajax vs Groningen
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
81.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.82
Goles esperados
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.7%
5-0
4.5%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.1%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.5%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.8%
2-0
12%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
12.3%
Empate
0-0
3%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.3%
6.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.68
Goles esperados
0-1
2.1%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.8%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+2%
-4%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 feb. 2003 |
AJA
1 - 1
FEY
65%
19%
16%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 feb. 2003 |
AJA
1 - 0
RJC
78%
15%
8%
|
89 | 78 | 11 | -1 |
| 02 feb. 2003 |
WIL
0 - 6
AJA
27%
25%
49%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | +1 |
| 22 dic. 2002 |
EXC
0 - 2
AJA
27%
25%
49%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 dic. 2002 |
AJA
2 - 4
PSV
54%
22%
24%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
Partidos
Groningen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 feb. 2003 |
GRO
0 - 0
TWE
37%
25%
38%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 feb. 2003 |
GRO
3 - 0
HFC
65%
19%
15%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 feb. 2003 |
RKC
1 - 0
GRO
64%
21%
15%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 dic. 2002 |
WIL
1 - 0
GRO
69%
18%
13%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | -1 |
| 13 dic. 2002 |
GRO
3 - 2
RJC
31%
26%
43%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | +1 |