Análisis Ajax vs Twente
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
86.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
3.76
Goles esperados
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.5%
8-0
0.9%
9-1
0.4%
10-2
0.1%
+8
1.3%
7-0
1.9%
8-1
0.8%
9-2
0.2%
10-3
<0%
+7
3%
6-0
3.6%
7-1
1.8%
8-2
0.4%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.8%
5-0
5.8%
6-1
3.3%
7-2
0.8%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
10.1%
4-0
7.7%
5-1
5.3%
6-2
1.5%
7-3
0.3%
8-4
<0%
+4
14.9%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
7.1%
5-2
2.5%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
18.3%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
14.2%
8.3%
Empate
0-0
0.9%
1-1
3.2%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
8.3%
5%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.92
Goles esperados
0-1
0.9%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
3.5%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-8%
-8%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 ene. 1967 |
NAC
0 - 1
AJA
21%
23%
55%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 dic. 1966 |
AJA
8 - 0
ELI
85%
10%
5%
|
88 | 62 | 26 | 0 |
| 18 dic. 1966 |
AJA
4 - 1
XER
87%
8%
5%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 dic. 1966 |
LIV
2 - 2
AJA
55%
21%
25%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 dic. 1966 |
ADO
2 - 0
AJA
31%
24%
45%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
Partidos
Twente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 ene. 1967 |
TWE
1 - 1
FEY
24%
22%
54%
|
71 | 88 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 dic. 1966 |
GAE
1 - 0
TWE
63%
18%
19%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 dic. 1966 |
VVD
2 - 1
TWE
56%
22%
22%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 dic. 1966 |
TWE
1 - 1
WIL
59%
21%
20%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 nov. 1966 |
TWE
1 - 1
SIT
61%
22%
18%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |