Análisis Ajax vs Twente
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
84.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.97
Goles esperados
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.4%
5-0
5.3%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.2%
4-0
8.9%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.8%
3-0
12.1%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.7%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.5%
10.7%
Empate
0-0
2.8%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
10.7%
5%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.62
Goles esperados
0-1
1.7%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.9%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+4%
-9%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 mar. 1970 |
PSV
1 - 3
AJA
32%
25%
43%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 mar. 1970 |
AJA
3 - 0
GRO
90%
7%
2%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 15 mar. 1970 |
AJA
5 - 1
SHS
89%
7%
4%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 mar. 1970 |
AJA
5 - 1
CZJ
71%
17%
12%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | -1 |
| 08 mar. 1970 |
HFC
0 - 1
AJA
19%
20%
62%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | +1 |
Partidos
Twente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 mar. 1970 |
TWE
3 - 1
NEC
74%
16%
11%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 mar. 1970 |
TWE
3 - 1
ADO
52%
24%
24%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 mar. 1970 |
SPA
3 - 0
TWE
52%
24%
24%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 mar. 1970 |
TWE
3 - 0
GAE
54%
23%
23%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 feb. 1970 |
TWE
2 - 2
TEL
75%
17%
9%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | 0 |