Análisis Ajax vs Twente
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
74.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.52
Goles esperados
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.2%
4-0
6%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.9%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.5%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
15.6%
Empate
0-0
3.6%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.6%
9.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.81
Goles esperados
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+1%
-10%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 feb. 2004 |
VOL
0 - 2
AJA
21%
21%
58%
|
88 | 64 | 24 | 0 |
| 08 feb. 2004 |
AJA
2 - 1
PSV
50%
23%
27%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 feb. 2004 |
AJA
4 - 0
ADO
79%
14%
7%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 ene. 2004 |
AJA
1 - 0
NEC
80%
13%
7%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 ene. 2004 |
RJC
1 - 2
AJA
19%
24%
57%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
Partidos
Twente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 feb. 2004 |
PSV
1 - 0
TWE
71%
17%
12%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 feb. 2004 |
TWE
2 - 0
ZWO
66%
21%
14%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 feb. 2004 |
TWE
3 - 1
FEY
21%
24%
55%
|
76 | 89 | 13 | +2 |
| 01 feb. 2004 |
FEY
3 - 2
TWE
72%
17%
11%
|
77 | 88 | 11 | -1 |
| 28 ene. 2004 |
TWE
0 - 0
VIT
47%
26%
27%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |