Análisis Ajax vs Twente
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
75.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.45
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.8%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.7%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
15.7%
Empate
0-0
4.2%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.6%
9.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.73
Goles esperados
0-1
3%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-4%
-6%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 ene. 2005 |
AJA
0 - 0
ADO
78%
15%
8%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 ene. 2005 |
AJA
2 - 0
SCH
69%
19%
12%
|
89 | 82 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 ene. 2005 |
UTR
0 - 2
AJA
24%
24%
53%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | +1 |
| 19 dic. 2004 |
GRO
0 - 4
AJA
14%
22%
64%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 12 dic. 2004 |
AJA
1 - 0
VIT
76%
15%
9%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
Partidos
Twente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 ene. 2005 |
TWE
0 - 0
FEY
20%
24%
56%
|
75 | 88 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 ene. 2005 |
ADO
5 - 4
TWE
42%
25%
33%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 ene. 2005 |
WIL
0 - 3
TWE
55%
23%
22%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 dic. 2004 |
TWE
0 - 0
NAC
45%
25%
31%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 dic. 2004 |
AZA
5 - 0
TWE
67%
20%
14%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |