Análisis Ajax vs Utrecht
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
80.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.79
Goles esperados
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.6%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.9%
4-0
7.7%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.3%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.6%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
12.6%
Empate
0-0
3.1%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.6%
6.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.7
Goles esperados
0-1
2.1%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+1%
+9%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 mar. 1979 |
PSV
3 - 1
AJA
52%
24%
24%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 mar. 1979 |
AJA
0 - 0
NAC
84%
11%
5%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 17 dic. 1978 |
TWE
2 - 3
AJA
48%
25%
27%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 dic. 1978 |
AZA
1 - 2
AJA
45%
25%
30%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 dic. 1978 |
AJA
2 - 0
BUD
89%
7%
4%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
Partidos
Utrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 mar. 1979 |
ZWO
1 - 0
UTR
45%
26%
29%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 mar. 1979 |
UTR
2 - 1
VOL
70%
18%
12%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 mar. 1979 |
TWE
2 - 2
UTR
73%
17%
10%
|
75 | 88 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 dic. 1978 |
FEY
1 - 0
UTR
77%
15%
8%
|
75 | 88 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 dic. 1978 |
UTR
2 - 0
VIT
66%
20%
14%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |