Análisis Ajax vs Fortuna Sittard
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
84%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.91
Goles esperados
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.2%
5-0
5.2%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.9%
4-0
8.9%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.6%
3-0
12.3%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.7%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.8%
11%
Empate
0-0
3%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
11%
5%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.6
Goles esperados
0-1
1.8%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.9%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+1%
-2%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 sep. 1995 |
GAE
0 - 4
AJA
13%
20%
67%
|
88 | 64 | 24 | 0 |
| 13 sep. 1995 |
AJA
1 - 0
RMA
57%
22%
21%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 sep. 1995 |
AJA
4 - 0
SPA
82%
12%
6%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | +1 |
| 25 ago. 1995 |
NEC
0 - 6
AJA
19%
23%
58%
|
88 | 65 | 23 | 0 |
| 20 ago. 1995 |
AJA
4 - 0
UTR
83%
11%
5%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
Partidos
Fortuna Sittard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 sep. 1995 |
FOR
1 - 0
GRA
54%
24%
21%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 sep. 1995 |
WIL
4 - 0
FOR
73%
17%
10%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 ago. 1995 |
GRO
2 - 0
FOR
67%
19%
14%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 ago. 1995 |
FOR
1 - 3
PSV
15%
22%
63%
|
65 | 88 | 23 | 0 |
| 01 jun. 1993 |
FOR
1 - 1
BOS
46%
27%
27%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |