Análisis Ajax vs Fortuna Sittard
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
88.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.83
Goles esperados
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
1.4%
6-0
3.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.5%
5-0
6.5%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
7.5%
4-0
11.5%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.2%
+4
13.7%
3-0
16.3%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
20.2%
2-0
17.3%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
23%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.5%
9.1%
Empate
0-0
4.3%
1-1
3.8%
2-2
0.9%
3-3
0.1%
0
9.1%
2.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.32
Goles esperados
0-1
1.4%
1-2
0.6%
2-3
0.1%
-1
2.1%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
-2
0.3%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+1%
-2%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 nov. 1996 |
WIL
0 - 1
AJA
24%
24%
52%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 oct. 1996 |
GLA
0 - 1
AJA
36%
26%
38%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 oct. 1996 |
VIT
1 - 4
AJA
29%
26%
45%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 oct. 1996 |
AJA
2 - 0
RKC
81%
13%
6%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 oct. 1996 |
AJA
1 - 1
VOL
83%
12%
5%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
Partidos
Fortuna Sittard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 nov. 1996 |
FOR
1 - 5
VIT
23%
27%
51%
|
64 | 82 | 18 | 0 |
| 26 oct. 1996 |
GRA
2 - 0
FOR
63%
21%
16%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 oct. 1996 |
NEC
1 - 1
FOR
54%
24%
22%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 oct. 1996 |
GRO
2 - 0
FOR
70%
18%
12%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 oct. 1996 |
FOR
1 - 1
PSV
13%
19%
68%
|
65 | 88 | 23 | +1 |