Análisis Ajax vs De Graafschap
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
91.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
4.32
Goles esperados
10-0
0.4%
+10
0.4%
9-0
0.9%
10-1
0.3%
+9
1.2%
8-0
1.8%
9-1
0.7%
10-2
0.1%
+8
2.6%
7-0
3.3%
8-1
1.4%
9-2
0.3%
10-3
<0%
+7
5.1%
6-0
5.4%
7-1
2.7%
8-2
0.6%
9-3
0.1%
+6
8.7%
5-0
7.4%
6-1
4.3%
7-2
1.1%
8-3
0.2%
9-4
<0%
+5
13%
4-0
8.6%
5-1
6%
6-2
1.8%
7-3
0.3%
8-4
<0%
+4
16.7%
3-0
8%
4-1
7%
5-2
2.4%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
17.9%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
2.6%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
10.5%
5.3%
Empate
0-0
0.6%
1-1
2.1%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
5.3%
2.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.81
Goles esperados
0-1
0.5%
1-2
0.8%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
2%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
2-5
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+3%
-5%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 nov. 1973 |
CSK
2 - 0
AJA
38%
24%
38%
|
89 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 nov. 1973 |
MVV
0 - 4
AJA
19%
26%
56%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | +1 |
| 28 oct. 1973 |
AJA
5 - 1
GAE
87%
9%
4%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 oct. 1973 |
AJA
1 - 0
CSK
88%
8%
4%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 oct. 1973 |
AJA
1 - 1
PSV
80%
13%
8%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
Partidos
De Graafschap
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 nov. 1973 |
GRA
0 - 3
PSV
22%
28%
51%
|
68 | 85 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 oct. 1973 |
UTR
3 - 1
GRA
68%
19%
13%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 oct. 1973 |
GRA
1 - 1
HFC
60%
23%
18%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 oct. 1973 |
AZA
4 - 0
GRA
44%
26%
30%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 oct. 1973 |
GRA
5 - 7
FEY
14%
17%
69%
|
69 | 88 | 19 | 0 |