Análisis Ajax vs Heerenveen
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
70%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.33
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.9%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
17.6%
Empate
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.6%
12.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.87
Goles esperados
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+1%
-3%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 nov. 2009 |
TWE
1 - 0
AJA
32%
24%
44%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 nov. 2009 |
DZG
0 - 2
AJA
37%
23%
40%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 nov. 2009 |
AJA
5 - 1
FEY
68%
19%
14%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | +1 |
| 29 oct. 2009 |
FCD
1 - 2
AJA
15%
20%
66%
|
89 | 68 | 21 | -1 |
| 25 oct. 2009 |
AZA
2 - 4
AJA
26%
24%
51%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | +1 |
Partidos
Heerenveen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 nov. 2009 |
UTR
2 - 3
SCH
35%
26%
39%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 nov. 2009 |
SCH
2 - 3
HER
57%
22%
21%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 oct. 2009 |
SCH
3 - 0
ADO
73%
17%
10%
|
79 | 64 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 oct. 2009 |
SCH
4 - 2
RBC
83%
12%
5%
|
79 | 56 | 23 | 0 |
| 25 oct. 2009 |
WIL
4 - 1
SCH
25%
25%
51%
|
79 | 63 | 16 | 0 |