Eredivisie Jor. 21

Análisis Ajax vs NAC Breda

Ajax NAC Breda
81 ELO 74
11.8% Tilt 12.7%
104º Ranking ELO general 618º
Ranking ELO país 20º
Probabilidad ELO de victoria
64.8%
Ajax
17.9%
Empate
17.3%
NAC Breda

Resultados posibles

Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
64.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
Ajax
2.49
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.9%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.7%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
17.9%
Empate
0-0
2.4%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
17.9%
17.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
NAC Breda
1.24
Goles esperados
0-1
3%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

Gráfica ELO/Inclinación

← Defensivo Tilt Ofensivo →
Ajax
+6%
-14%
NAC Breda

Progresión del ELO

Ajax
NAC Breda
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO

Partidos

Ajax
Ajax
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
07 feb. 1965
SPA
Sparta Rotterdam
0 - 0
Ajax
AJA
35%
23%
42%
81 76 5 0
24 ene. 1965
AJA
Ajax
9 - 3
MVV Maastricht
MVV
71%
17%
13%
81 72 9 0
17 ene. 1965
DWS
Amsterdam FC DWS
1 - 1
Ajax
AJA
52%
21%
26%
81 83 2 0
10 ene. 1965
AJA
Ajax
5 - 1
ADO Den Haag
ADO
73%
16%
11%
80 71 9 +1
03 ene. 1965
GAE
Go Ahead Eagles
1 - 0
Ajax
AJA
26%
20%
53%
81 69 12 -1

Partidos

NAC Breda
NAC Breda
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
07 feb. 1965
NAC
NAC Breda
2 - 0
SC Telstar
TEL
56%
23%
21%
74 69 5 0
31 ene. 1965
NAC
NAC Breda
3 - 0
VV Dos
VVD
49%
24%
26%
73 73 0 +1
24 ene. 1965
SIT
Sittardia
1 - 1
NAC Breda
NAC
33%
24%
44%
74 62 12 -1
03 ene. 1965
SPA
Sparta Rotterdam
1 - 0
NAC Breda
NAC
53%
22%
25%
74 76 2 0
20 dic. 1964
MVV
MVV Maastricht
3 - 1
NAC Breda
NAC
41%
25%
34%
75 72 3 -1