Análisis Ajax vs NAC Breda
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
87.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
3.39
Goles esperados
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1%
7-0
1.8%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.4%
6-0
3.7%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.1%
5-0
6.6%
6-1
2.4%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
9.4%
4-0
9.7%
5-1
4.3%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.8%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.3%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.4%
8.4%
Empate
0-0
1.7%
1-1
3.9%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
8.4%
3.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.65
Goles esperados
0-1
1.1%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
2-5
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+5%
-11%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 may. 1968 |
AJA
3 - 1
GRO
86%
10%
4%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 abr. 1968 |
NEC
0 - 2
AJA
24%
21%
56%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 abr. 1968 |
AJA
3 - 0
SPA
83%
11%
6%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 mar. 1968 |
XER
0 - 1
AJA
21%
21%
59%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 mar. 1968 |
AJA
4 - 0
PSV
85%
10%
5%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
Partidos
NAC Breda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 may. 1968 |
NAC
0 - 0
NEC
43%
28%
29%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 abr. 1968 |
SPA
2 - 1
NAC
70%
19%
11%
|
67 | 81 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 abr. 1968 |
NAC
4 - 2
XER
44%
28%
28%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | +1 |
| 31 mar. 1968 |
PSV
6 - 0
NAC
66%
20%
15%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 mar. 1968 |
NAC
1 - 0
TWE
41%
27%
32%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | +1 |