Análisis Ajax vs NAC Breda
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
87.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
3.36
Goles esperados
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.9%
7-0
1.8%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.3%
6-0
3.7%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
5%
5-0
6.7%
6-1
2.3%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
9.4%
4-0
9.9%
5-1
4.1%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.8%
3-0
11.8%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.4%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.5%
8.3%
Empate
0-0
1.9%
1-1
3.9%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
8.3%
3.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.62
Goles esperados
0-1
1.2%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
2.9%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+5%
-11%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 ene. 1975 |
EXC
1 - 2
AJA
17%
25%
58%
|
88 | 64 | 24 | 0 |
| 05 ene. 1975 |
AJA
4 - 2
MVV
87%
9%
4%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 dic. 1974 |
ADO
1 - 0
AJA
20%
26%
53%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 dic. 1974 |
PSV
1 - 1
AJA
53%
23%
24%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 dic. 1974 |
AJA
2 - 1
JUV
64%
20%
17%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
Partidos
NAC Breda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 ene. 1975 |
NAC
1 - 1
GRA
51%
23%
26%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 ene. 1975 |
HFC
1 - 1
NAC
55%
24%
21%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 dic. 1974 |
NAC
3 - 1
UTR
38%
27%
34%
|
62 | 75 | 13 | +2 |
| 15 dic. 1974 |
GAE
2 - 0
NAC
66%
20%
14%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | -1 |
| 08 dic. 1974 |
NAC
1 - 5
FEY
14%
21%
65%
|
63 | 88 | 25 | 0 |