Análisis Ajax vs NAC Breda
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
88.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
3.49
Goles esperados
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.9%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.1%
7-0
2%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.7%
6-0
4.1%
7-1
1.3%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.5%
5-0
7%
6-1
2.6%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
10%
4-0
10%
5-1
4.4%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
15.3%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.4%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.7%
7.7%
Empate
0-0
1.6%
1-1
3.6%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
7.7%
3.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.63
Goles esperados
0-1
1%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
2.6%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+2%
-9%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 may. 1981 |
AJA
6 - 1
MVV
88%
8%
4%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 may. 1981 |
AJA
2 - 1
SPA
87%
9%
4%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 abr. 1981 |
NEC
0 - 0
AJA
14%
22%
64%
|
88 | 65 | 23 | 0 |
| 18 abr. 1981 |
AJA
2 - 1
ZWO
91%
6%
3%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 abr. 1981 |
AZA
0 - 1
AJA
54%
22%
24%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
Partidos
NAC Breda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 may. 1981 |
SPA
3 - 3
NAC
68%
18%
14%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 may. 1981 |
WAG
2 - 2
NAC
50%
25%
25%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 abr. 1981 |
NAC
1 - 0
RJC
41%
26%
32%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | +1 |
| 18 abr. 1981 |
GAE
4 - 0
NAC
63%
21%
17%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 abr. 1981 |
NAC
0 - 3
UTR
35%
28%
36%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | -1 |