Análisis Ajax vs NAC Breda
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
92.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
3.97
Goles esperados
10-0
0.3%
+10
0.3%
9-0
0.7%
10-1
0.2%
+9
0.9%
8-0
1.6%
9-1
0.4%
10-2
<0%
+8
2.1%
7-0
3.3%
8-1
0.9%
9-2
0.1%
+7
4.4%
6-0
5.8%
7-1
1.9%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
8%
5-0
8.8%
6-1
3.3%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
12.7%
4-0
11.1%
5-1
5%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
17.1%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.2%
5.2%
Empate
0-0
1.1%
1-1
2.4%
2-2
1.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
5.2%
2%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.57
Goles esperados
0-1
0.6%
1-2
0.7%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
1.6%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.3%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+2%
-9%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 mar. 1985 |
BOS
1 - 1
AJA
18%
21%
61%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 mar. 1985 |
EXC
0 - 1
AJA
16%
22%
63%
|
88 | 65 | 23 | 0 |
| 10 feb. 1985 |
AJA
4 - 0
SPA
88%
8%
4%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | +1 |
| 03 feb. 1985 |
MVV
1 - 3
AJA
15%
22%
63%
|
87 | 64 | 23 | 0 |
| 16 dic. 1984 |
AJA
1 - 4
PSV
67%
17%
16%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | -1 |
Partidos
NAC Breda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 mar. 1985 |
EXC
1 - 0
NAC
58%
23%
19%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 mar. 1985 |
NAC
2 - 0
RJC
40%
29%
31%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | +2 |
| 02 feb. 1985 |
NAC
1 - 3
FEY
14%
22%
65%
|
60 | 87 | 27 | -1 |
| 15 dic. 1984 |
NAC
1 - 2
GRO
30%
27%
43%
|
61 | 78 | 17 | -1 |
| 09 dic. 1984 |
TWE
2 - 0
NAC
67%
20%
14%
|
62 | 78 | 16 | -1 |