Análisis Ajax vs NAC Breda
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
78.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.64
Goles esperados
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.1%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.2%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.8%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
13.9%
Empate
0-0
3.5%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.9%
7.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.72
Goles esperados
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+1%
-9%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 ene. 1995 |
VIT
2 - 3
AJA
29%
26%
46%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 ene. 1995 |
AJA
1 - 0
PSV
51%
23%
26%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 ene. 1995 |
RKC
1 - 1
AJA
22%
24%
55%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 21 dic. 1994 |
NEC
0 - 2
AJA
11%
20%
69%
|
88 | 61 | 27 | 0 |
| 18 dic. 1994 |
NAC
2 - 2
AJA
21%
24%
55%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
Partidos
NAC Breda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 ene. 1995 |
VIT
1 - 1
NAC
67%
20%
13%
|
69 | 82 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 ene. 1995 |
NAC
0 - 0
WIL
52%
25%
23%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 dic. 1994 |
NAC
2 - 2
AJA
21%
24%
55%
|
68 | 88 | 20 | 0 |
| 09 dic. 1994 |
SCH
4 - 3
NAC
56%
23%
21%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 dic. 1994 |
RKC
2 - 0
NAC
55%
23%
22%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | -1 |