Análisis Ajax vs NAC Breda
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
73.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.59
Goles esperados
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.3%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.9%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.3%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
15.6%
Empate
0-0
3%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.6%
11%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.91
Goles esperados
0-1
2.8%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+1%
-8%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 nov. 2001 |
GRA
1 - 1
AJA
15%
20%
65%
|
87 | 65 | 22 | 0 |
| 01 nov. 2001 |
AJA
0 - 1
FCK
73%
17%
11%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 oct. 2001 |
AJA
4 - 1
WIL
74%
16%
11%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 oct. 2001 |
SCH
5 - 1
AJA
31%
25%
44%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 oct. 2001 |
FCK
0 - 0
AJA
31%
25%
44%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
Partidos
NAC Breda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 nov. 2001 |
NAC
2 - 1
FEY
22%
23%
55%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 oct. 2001 |
SPA
2 - 3
NAC
33%
25%
42%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 oct. 2001 |
NAC
0 - 1
EXC
40%
24%
35%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 oct. 2001 |
VIT
1 - 0
NAC
64%
21%
16%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | -1 |
| 17 oct. 2001 |
NAC
1 - 1
WIL
45%
25%
30%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |