Análisis Ajax vs NAC Breda
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
76.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.67
Goles esperados
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.9%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.4%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21%
14.3%
Empate
0-0
3.1%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.3%
8.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.81
Goles esperados
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+2%
-8%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 sep. 2002 |
INT
1 - 0
AJA
51%
24%
25%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 sep. 2002 |
RBC
2 - 3
AJA
21%
23%
56%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | +1 |
| 17 sep. 2002 |
AJA
2 - 1
LYO
47%
24%
30%
|
88 | 90 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 sep. 2002 |
AJA
2 - 0
ZWO
72%
16%
12%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 sep. 2002 |
GRO
1 - 3
AJA
17%
21%
62%
|
87 | 68 | 19 | +1 |
Partidos
NAC Breda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 sep. 2002 |
NAC
2 - 0
TWE
50%
24%
26%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 sep. 2002 |
SCH
0 - 2
NAC
55%
23%
22%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | +1 |
| 31 ago. 2002 |
NAC
0 - 0
NEC
60%
22%
18%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | -1 |
| 25 ago. 2002 |
WIL
1 - 1
NAC
54%
22%
24%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 ago. 2002 |
NAC
2 - 2
RJC
45%
26%
30%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |