Análisis Ajax vs NAC Breda
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
77.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.53
Goles esperados
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.6%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.6%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.5%
2-0
13%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
14.6%
Empate
0-0
4.1%
1-1
7%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.6%
7.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.68
Goles esperados
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 nov. 2011 |
UTR
6 - 4
AJA
16%
20%
64%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 nov. 2011 |
AJA
4 - 0
DZG
64%
20%
15%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 oct. 2011 |
RJC
0 - 4
AJA
15%
19%
66%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | +1 |
| 26 oct. 2011 |
RJC
2 - 4
AJA
19%
21%
60%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 oct. 2011 |
AJA
1 - 1
FEY
70%
18%
12%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
Partidos
NAC Breda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 nov. 2011 |
NAC
1 - 0
VIT
48%
25%
26%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 oct. 2011 |
NAC
3 - 1
VVV
67%
20%
13%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | -1 |
| 21 oct. 2011 |
GRA
3 - 1
NAC
32%
26%
42%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | -1 |
| 16 oct. 2011 |
NAC
2 - 0
EXC
64%
21%
15%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | +1 |
| 01 oct. 2011 |
RJC
4 - 3
NAC
49%
25%
27%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | -1 |