Análisis Ajax vs NEC Nijmegen
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
89.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
3.45
Goles esperados
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.9%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.1%
7-0
2.1%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.6%
6-0
4.2%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.5%
5-0
7.3%
6-1
2.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
10.1%
4-0
10.6%
5-1
4.2%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
15.5%
3-0
12.3%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.6%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.7%
7.5%
Empate
0-0
1.8%
1-1
3.5%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
7.5%
3.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.57
Goles esperados
0-1
1%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
2.4%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+2%
+4%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 ene. 1974 |
ADO
0 - 1
AJA
27%
27%
46%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 ene. 1974 |
AJA
6 - 0
ACM
74%
14%
12%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 ene. 1974 |
AMS
1 - 0
AJA
25%
22%
53%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 ene. 1974 |
ACM
1 - 0
AJA
64%
18%
18%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | -1 |
| 06 ene. 1974 |
AJA
9 - 0
GRO
90%
7%
3%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | +1 |
Partidos
NEC Nijmegen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 ene. 1974 |
NEC
1 - 2
PSV
26%
28%
46%
|
72 | 86 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 ene. 1974 |
UTR
2 - 1
NEC
61%
23%
16%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 dic. 1973 |
NEC
1 - 2
NAC
59%
23%
18%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | -1 |
| 23 dic. 1973 |
HFC
2 - 1
NEC
46%
29%
26%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 dic. 1973 |
NEC
0 - 1
AZA
59%
24%
17%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | -1 |