Análisis Ajax vs NEC Nijmegen
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
88.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
3.37
Goles esperados
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1%
7-0
1.9%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.4%
6-0
4%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.1%
+6
5.2%
5-0
7.1%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
9.7%
4-0
10.6%
5-1
4%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
15.2%
3-0
12.6%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.7%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.2%
7.8%
Empate
0-0
2%
1-1
3.7%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
7.8%
3.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.56
Goles esperados
0-1
1.1%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
2.5%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+1%
+5%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 oct. 1980 |
ZWO
2 - 0
AJA
16%
19%
65%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 22 oct. 1980 |
BYM
5 - 1
AJA
63%
20%
18%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 oct. 1980 |
AJA
1 - 2
AZA
66%
18%
16%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 oct. 1980 |
ADO
4 - 3
AJA
20%
24%
56%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 oct. 1980 |
AJA
1 - 0
DIN
96%
3%
1%
|
89 | 66 | 23 | -1 |
Partidos
NEC Nijmegen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 oct. 1980 |
SPA
4 - 1
NEC
64%
21%
15%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 oct. 1980 |
NEC
2 - 0
ZWO
52%
25%
23%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 oct. 1980 |
AZA
6 - 1
NEC
84%
11%
5%
|
68 | 87 | 19 | 0 |
| 27 sep. 1980 |
NEC
2 - 4
ADO
50%
26%
24%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 sep. 1980 |
GRO
2 - 0
NEC
58%
23%
19%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | -1 |