Análisis Ajax vs NEC Nijmegen
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
90.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
3.58
Goles esperados
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.5%
8-0
1.1%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.3%
7-0
2.4%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
+7
3.1%
6-0
4.7%
7-1
1.3%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
6.2%
5-0
7.9%
6-1
2.6%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
10.9%
4-0
11%
5-1
4.3%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
16.1%
3-0
12.3%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.7%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.6%
6.7%
Empate
0-0
1.6%
1-1
3.2%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
6.7%
2.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.55
Goles esperados
0-1
0.9%
1-2
0.9%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
2.1%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+2%
+5%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 sep. 1982 |
CEL
2 - 2
AJA
36%
24%
41%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 sep. 1982 |
AJA
1 - 1
SPA
87%
9%
4%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 sep. 1982 |
EXC
0 - 3
AJA
12%
20%
68%
|
88 | 63 | 25 | 0 |
| 04 sep. 1982 |
AJA
4 - 1
NAC
90%
7%
3%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 28 ago. 1982 |
HFC
0 - 2
AJA
19%
22%
60%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
Partidos
NEC Nijmegen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 sep. 1982 |
NEC
1 - 1
GAE
49%
24%
27%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 sep. 1982 |
FOR
1 - 0
NEC
59%
23%
18%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 sep. 1982 |
NEC
1 - 1
HEL
68%
19%
13%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 sep. 1982 |
FEY
1 - 0
NEC
84%
11%
5%
|
67 | 88 | 21 | 0 |
| 28 ago. 1982 |
NEC
2 - 1
UTR
46%
27%
28%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | +1 |