Análisis Ajax vs NEC Nijmegen
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
90.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
3.1
Goles esperados
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
2%
6-0
3.9%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
<0%
+6
4.6%
5-0
7.6%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
9.1%
4-0
12.2%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
15.1%
3-0
15.7%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
20.5%
2-0
15.2%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.5%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.2%
7.7%
Empate
0-0
3.2%
1-1
3.4%
2-2
0.9%
3-3
0.1%
0
7.7%
2.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.35
Goles esperados
0-1
1.1%
1-2
0.6%
2-3
0.1%
3-4
0%
-1
1.8%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
-2
0.3%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+1%
+4%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 dic. 1995 |
AJA
1 - 0
GRA
91%
7%
2%
|
88 | 59 | 29 | 0 |
| 17 dic. 1995 |
UTR
0 - 3
AJA
17%
22%
60%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 06 dic. 1995 |
AJA
4 - 0
FTC
78%
14%
8%
|
89 | 79 | 10 | -1 |
| 28 nov. 1995 |
AJA
0 - 0
GRE
78%
14%
8%
|
89 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 nov. 1995 |
RMA
0 - 2
AJA
51%
24%
26%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
Partidos
NEC Nijmegen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 dic. 1995 |
NEC
1 - 1
GRA
63%
21%
16%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 dic. 1995 |
NEC
1 - 1
WIL
35%
27%
38%
|
63 | 79 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 dic. 1995 |
GRO
0 - 0
NEC
73%
17%
10%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | +1 |
| 26 nov. 1995 |
NEC
0 - 5
PSV
9%
18%
73%
|
63 | 88 | 25 | -1 |
| 19 nov. 1995 |
RKC
4 - 0
NEC
73%
17%
10%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | 0 |