Análisis Ajax vs Sparta Rotterdam
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
81.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.86
Goles esperados
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.9%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.3%
4-0
8%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.7%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.9%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
12%
Empate
0-0
2.9%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
12%
6.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.69
Goles esperados
0-1
2%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+3%
+7%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 sep. 1976 |
ADO
1 - 2
AJA
31%
26%
43%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 sep. 1976 |
AJA
1 - 0
PSV
59%
20%
21%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 ago. 1976 |
HFC
2 - 0
AJA
23%
25%
53%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 25 ago. 1976 |
AZA
0 - 3
AJA
27%
26%
47%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 ago. 1976 |
AJA
1 - 0
GRA
85%
10%
5%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
Partidos
Sparta Rotterdam
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 sep. 1976 |
SPA
3 - 0
EIN
68%
21%
12%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 sep. 1976 |
SPA
1 - 0
ADO
48%
26%
26%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 ago. 1976 |
PSV
2 - 0
SPA
77%
15%
8%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 ago. 1976 |
HFC
4 - 0
SPA
39%
29%
32%
|
80 | 65 | 15 | -1 |
| 21 ago. 1976 |
SPA
1 - 1
AZA
51%
25%
23%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |