Análisis Ajax vs Sparta Rotterdam
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
79.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.67
Goles esperados
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.3%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.4%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.1%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
13.6%
Empate
0-0
3.5%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.6%
7.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.7
Goles esperados
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+2%
+7%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 abr. 1978 |
ADO
0 - 3
AJA
29%
27%
44%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 abr. 1978 |
AJA
6 - 1
NEC
83%
11%
6%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 mar. 1978 |
AJA
2 - 0
RJC
80%
13%
7%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 mar. 1978 |
VVV
2 - 2
AJA
25%
26%
49%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 mar. 1978 |
AJA
5 - 1
AMS
83%
11%
6%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
Partidos
Sparta Rotterdam
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 abr. 1978 |
SPA
3 - 1
HFC
71%
19%
11%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 abr. 1978 |
SPA
6 - 0
AMS
67%
20%
13%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | +1 |
| 02 abr. 1978 |
TWE
1 - 0
SPA
71%
19%
11%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 mar. 1978 |
SPA
0 - 0
PSV
29%
25%
46%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 mar. 1978 |
AZA
1 - 2
SPA
66%
20%
14%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |