Análisis Ajax vs Sparta Rotterdam
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
87.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
3.47
Goles esperados
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1%
7-0
1.8%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.5%
6-0
3.7%
7-1
1.3%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.2%
5-0
6.3%
6-1
2.7%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
9.5%
4-0
9.1%
5-1
4.6%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.8%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
6.6%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.2%
8.5%
Empate
0-0
1.5%
1-1
3.8%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
8.5%
4.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.73
Goles esperados
0-1
1.1%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.2%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+2%
+8%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 sep. 1982 |
EXC
0 - 3
AJA
12%
20%
68%
|
88 | 63 | 25 | 0 |
| 04 sep. 1982 |
AJA
4 - 1
NAC
90%
7%
3%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 28 ago. 1982 |
HFC
0 - 2
AJA
19%
22%
60%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 ago. 1982 |
GRO
2 - 1
AJA
20%
22%
58%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 ago. 1982 |
AJA
4 - 1
GAE
87%
8%
4%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
Partidos
Sparta Rotterdam
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 sep. 1982 |
SPA
2 - 2
GAE
64%
20%
17%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 sep. 1982 |
FOR
3 - 2
SPA
46%
26%
29%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 ago. 1982 |
SPA
1 - 2
HEL
78%
14%
8%
|
74 | 58 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 ago. 1982 |
FEY
3 - 1
SPA
79%
14%
8%
|
75 | 88 | 13 | -1 |
| 21 ago. 1982 |
SPA
2 - 1
UTR
58%
22%
20%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | +1 |