Análisis Ajax vs Sparta Rotterdam
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
81.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.81
Goles esperados
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.8%
5-0
4.5%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.2%
4-0
8.1%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.6%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.9%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
12.2%
Empate
0-0
3.1%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.2%
6.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.67
Goles esperados
0-1
2.1%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+3%
+8%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 feb. 1999 |
SCH
2 - 2
AJA
27%
25%
49%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 feb. 1999 |
TWE
2 - 1
AJA
24%
25%
52%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 feb. 1999 |
RJC
0 - 3
AJA
28%
26%
45%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 dic. 1998 |
FEY
1 - 1
AJA
47%
24%
29%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 dic. 1998 |
AJA
0 - 0
SCH
74%
15%
10%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
Partidos
Sparta Rotterdam
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 feb. 1999 |
RJC
1 - 0
SPA
70%
18%
12%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 feb. 1999 |
SPA
0 - 1
UTR
50%
24%
26%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 dic. 1998 |
UTR
4 - 1
SPA
58%
22%
20%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | -2 |
| 13 dic. 1998 |
SPA
4 - 2
TWE
31%
25%
44%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | +1 |
| 06 dic. 1998 |
SPA
1 - 2
BVO
54%
23%
23%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |