Análisis Atlético Alagoinhas vs Bahía
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
14.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.86
Goles esperados
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.3%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
4%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.8%
19.6%
Empate
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.6%
66.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.12
Goles esperados
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
11.4%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.1%
0-3
8%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.4%
0-4
4.3%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.1%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+17%
+6%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Atlético Alagoinhas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 ene. 2005 |
CFC
1 - 0
ALA
54%
22%
24%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 ene. 2005 |
ALA
1 - 0
CAT
14%
20%
66%
|
48 | 67 | 19 | +1 |
| 16 ene. 2005 |
PAL
1 - 2
ALA
31%
24%
45%
|
48 | 9 | 39 | 0 |
Partidos
Bahía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 ene. 2005 |
BAH
1 - 1
VIT
42%
24%
34%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 ene. 2005 |
CAM
1 - 2
BAH
7%
15%
77%
|
69 | 33 | 36 | 0 |
| 16 ene. 2005 |
BAH
0 - 1
IPI
88%
9%
4%
|
69 | 47 | 22 | 0 |
| 11 dic. 2004 |
BAH
2 - 3
BRA
64%
21%
15%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 dic. 2004 |
AVA
2 - 0
BAH
29%
27%
44%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | -1 |