Baiano 1 Jor. 2

Análisis Atlético Alagoinhas vs Bahía

Atlético Alagoinhas Bahía
44 ELO 53
-3% Tilt 2.2%
5028º Ranking ELO general 135º
164º Ranking ELO país 11º
Probabilidad ELO de victoria
33%
Atlético Alagoinhas
24.6%
Empate
42.5%
Bahía

Resultados posibles

Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
33%
Probabilidad de victoria
Atlético Alagoinhas
1.35
Goles esperados
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.5%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.3%
24.6%
Empate
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
42.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
Bahía
1.56
Goles esperados
0-1
8.5%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

Gráfica ELO/Inclinación

← Defensivo Tilt Ofensivo →
Atlético Alagoinhas
+8%
+1%
Bahía

Progresión del ELO

Atlético Alagoinhas
Bahía
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO

Partidos

Atlético Alagoinhas
Atlético Alagoinhas
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 ene. 2008
IPI
Ipitanga
1 - 1
Atlético Alagoinhas
ALA
51%
23%
26%
44 45 1 0
05 ago. 2007
LIN
Linhares
5 - 1
Atlético Alagoinhas
ALA
47%
25%
28%
46 47 1 -2
29 jul. 2007
ALA
Atlético Alagoinhas
0 - 0
Coruripe
COR
35%
27%
38%
46 53 7 0
22 jul. 2007
POC
Poções
1 - 1
Atlético Alagoinhas
ALA
33%
26%
41%
47 40 7 -1
18 jul. 2007
ALA
Atlético Alagoinhas
2 - 1
Poções
POC
60%
22%
18%
47 42 5 0

Partidos

Bahía
Bahía
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 ene. 2008
BAH
Bahía
3 - 1
Juazeiro BA
JUA
64%
19%
17%
51 49 2 0
28 nov. 2007
CRA
CRAC
4 - 2
Bahía
BAH
32%
26%
42%
52 46 6 -1
25 nov. 2007
BAH
Bahía
0 - 0
Vila Nova
VIL
52%
23%
25%
52 53 1 0
23 nov. 2007
BAH
Bahía
3 - 0
ABC
ABC
57%
23%
20%
51 51 0 +1
17 nov. 2007
BAR
Barras
0 - 2
Bahía
BAH
25%
25%
51%
51 38 13 0