Análisis Atlético Alagoinhas vs Bahía
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
19.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.95
Goles esperados
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.8%
1-0
6%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.8%
22.9%
Empate
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
57.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.81
Goles esperados
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
17.8%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
9.5%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+8%
+2%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Atlético Alagoinhas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 mar. 2009 |
CFC
1 - 1
ALA
36%
25%
39%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 mar. 2009 |
ALA
1 - 0
FEI
42%
25%
34%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 mar. 2009 |
IPI
2 - 2
ALA
47%
25%
28%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 mar. 2009 |
ALA
2 - 0
MDE
46%
24%
30%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 mar. 2009 |
POC
0 - 3
ALA
32%
25%
43%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | +1 |
Partidos
Bahía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 mar. 2009 |
BAH
0 - 0
VIT
35%
25%
40%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 mar. 2009 |
BAH
6 - 1
POT
73%
17%
11%
|
63 | 49 | 14 | +1 |
| 15 mar. 2009 |
POC
0 - 2
BAH
18%
22%
60%
|
63 | 36 | 27 | 0 |
| 12 mar. 2009 |
FEI
1 - 0
BAH
21%
22%
57%
|
64 | 51 | 13 | -1 |
| 08 mar. 2009 |
BAH
4 - 1
VIT
70%
17%
13%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | 0 |