Baiano 1 Semifinal
Global 2-5
Análisis Atlético Alagoinhas vs Vitória
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
16.2%
Probabilidad gana
0.83
Goles esperados
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.8%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.3%
22.1%
Empate
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
61.6%
Probabilidad gana
1.85
Goles esperados
0-1
12.7%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
11.8%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.1%
0-3
7.3%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.5%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+4%
+5%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Atlético Alagoinhas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 abr. 2009 |
ALA
3 - 2
VIT
15%
21%
64%
|
47 | 73 | 26 | 0 |
| 09 abr. 2009 |
FLU
3 - 1
ALA
52%
24%
24%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 abr. 2009 |
ALA
1 - 4
ITA
55%
23%
22%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | -2 |
| 03 abr. 2009 |
COL
0 - 1
ALA
43%
26%
31%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 mar. 2009 |
ALA
2 - 1
VIT
40%
25%
36%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | +1 |
Partidos
Vitória
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 abr. 2009 |
VIT
1 - 1
JUV
70%
18%
12%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 abr. 2009 |
ALA
3 - 2
VIT
15%
21%
64%
|
73 | 47 | 26 | -1 |
| 09 abr. 2009 |
JUV
1 - 2
VIT
38%
26%
36%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 abr. 2009 |
VIT
1 - 0
VIT
84%
11%
6%
|
72 | 49 | 23 | 0 |
| 03 abr. 2009 |
POC
0 - 4
VIT
11%
20%
70%
|
72 | 35 | 37 | 0 |