Análisis CD Alcalá vs Los Barrios
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
58.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.83
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
22.7%
Empate
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
18.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.93
Goles esperados
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-20%
+7%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
CD Alcalá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 feb. 2013 |
ALG
2 - 0
ALC
59%
22%
19%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 feb. 2013 |
ALC
1 - 0
SRO
45%
24%
31%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 ene. 2013 |
CON
2 - 1
ALC
33%
25%
42%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 ene. 2013 |
ALC
2 - 2
POR
53%
25%
23%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 ene. 2013 |
MAI
2 - 0
ALC
58%
23%
19%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | -1 |
Partidos
Los Barrios
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 feb. 2013 |
BAR
3 - 1
SRO
26%
25%
49%
|
22 | 29 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 feb. 2013 |
POR
1 - 0
BAR
58%
24%
19%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 ene. 2013 |
BAR
0 - 0
POZ
37%
28%
35%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 ene. 2013 |
ANT
1 - 1
BAR
47%
26%
28%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 ene. 2013 |
BAR
1 - 1
CEU
22%
24%
54%
|
22 | 33 | 11 | 0 |