Análisis CD Alcalá vs Lorca Deportiva
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
26.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.85
Goles esperados
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.5%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.8%
30.1%
Empate
0-0
13.3%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30.1%
43.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.17
Goles esperados
0-1
15.6%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
24.7%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
CD Alcalá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 feb. 2008 |
GRA
2 - 2
ALC
56%
25%
20%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 feb. 2008 |
ALC
1 - 2
LUC
48%
27%
25%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 feb. 2008 |
TAL
2 - 3
ALC
48%
26%
26%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | +1 |
| 03 feb. 2008 |
ALC
1 - 0
RJA
30%
29%
41%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | +1 |
| 27 ene. 2008 |
ALG
2 - 2
ALC
35%
28%
37%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
Partidos
Lorca Deportiva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 feb. 2008 |
LOR
0 - 0
MER
63%
21%
16%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 feb. 2008 |
AGU
1 - 0
LOR
42%
27%
31%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 feb. 2008 |
LOR
1 - 0
CAR
65%
21%
14%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 feb. 2008 |
MEL
1 - 1
LOR
34%
29%
38%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 ene. 2008 |
LOR
2 - 1
ECI
54%
24%
23%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |