Análisis CD Alcalá vs UD Melilla
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
46.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.3
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.5%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
24.9%
28.4%
Empate
0-0
11.3%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.4%
25.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.88
Goles esperados
0-1
9.9%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+1%
-17%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
CD Alcalá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 ene. 2007 |
MAR
0 - 2
ALC
58%
24%
18%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 ene. 2007 |
ALC
2 - 1
VIL
60%
23%
17%
|
51 | 40 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 ene. 2007 |
ALC
0 - 0
MER
47%
27%
26%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 ene. 2007 |
BAZ
3 - 1
ALC
45%
28%
27%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | -2 |
| 17 dic. 2006 |
ALC
1 - 2
CAR
35%
29%
36%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
Partidos
UD Melilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 ene. 2007 |
MEL
0 - 0
AGU
42%
27%
31%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 ene. 2007 |
CDL
0 - 0
MEL
52%
27%
21%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 ene. 2007 |
SEV
5 - 2
MEL
54%
27%
19%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 ene. 2007 |
MEL
0 - 1
CCF
30%
26%
44%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 dic. 2006 |
POR
0 - 0
MEL
46%
29%
25%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |