Análisis CD Alcalá vs UD Melilla
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
22.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.85
Goles esperados
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.4%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15%
26.8%
Empate
0-0
10%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.7%
51.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.45
Goles esperados
0-1
14.5%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.5%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.6%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+24%
-20%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
CD Alcalá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 sep. 2010 |
RJA
2 - 0
ALC
61%
25%
14%
|
53 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 sep. 2010 |
ALC
0 - 3
CAD
9%
20%
71%
|
53 | 76 | 23 | 0 |
| 01 sep. 2010 |
ALC
1 - 3
UES
20%
24%
57%
|
54 | 69 | 15 | -1 |
| 29 ago. 2010 |
ROQ
4 - 2
ALC
60%
23%
17%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 ago. 2010 |
ROD
1 - 2
ALC
36%
27%
37%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | +1 |
Partidos
UD Melilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 sep. 2010 |
MEL
3 - 0
ECI
59%
23%
18%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 sep. 2010 |
MEL
2 - 2
AGD
46%
25%
29%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 sep. 2010 |
RJA
0 - 0
MEL
43%
28%
28%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 sep. 2010 |
JUM
0 - 1
MEL
21%
25%
55%
|
65 | 43 | 22 | 0 |
| 29 ago. 2010 |
MEL
0 - 1
SRQ
59%
23%
18%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | -1 |