Tercera División - Play Offs Ascenso Cuartos
Análisis CD Alcalá vs Moratalla
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
62.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.91
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
21.6%
Empate
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
16.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.86
Goles esperados
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
CD Alcalá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 may. 2009 |
ALC
3 - 0
CCF
65%
21%
14%
|
42 | 28 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 may. 2009 |
CAR
1 - 0
ALC
29%
27%
44%
|
44 | 31 | 13 | -2 |
| 05 may. 2009 |
ALC
3 - 1
CAD
59%
23%
18%
|
44 | 33 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 abr. 2009 |
ARC
1 - 0
ALC
51%
25%
24%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 abr. 2009 |
ALC
1 - 0
POZ
57%
25%
18%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | +1 |
Partidos
Moratalla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 may. 2009 |
MOR
8 - 1
BAL
73%
17%
10%
|
33 | 18 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 may. 2009 |
CAL
1 - 2
MOR
19%
24%
58%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 may. 2009 |
MOR
1 - 1
SGI
74%
17%
9%
|
33 | 19 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 abr. 2009 |
CIU
2 - 7
MOR
9%
20%
71%
|
33 | 9 | 24 | 0 |
| 19 abr. 2009 |
MOR
1 - 0
YEC
44%
25%
31%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | 0 |