Análisis CD Alcalá vs PD Rociera
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
76.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.29
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.4%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.7%
2-0
14.8%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
16.1%
Empate
0-0
5.6%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.1%
7.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.58
Goles esperados
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-9%
-50%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
CD Alcalá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 oct. 2014 |
ASJ
2 - 0
ALC
27%
26%
48%
|
38 | 29 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 oct. 2014 |
SAN
1 - 0
ALC
66%
20%
14%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 sep. 2014 |
ALC
0 - 0
LAP
72%
17%
11%
|
39 | 26 | 13 | -1 |
| 21 sep. 2014 |
ECI
0 - 1
ALC
50%
24%
26%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 sep. 2014 |
ALC
0 - 0
CDG
78%
15%
7%
|
38 | 22 | 16 | 0 |
Partidos
PD Rociera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 oct. 2014 |
ROC
2 - 0
ARC
32%
26%
42%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 oct. 2014 |
ROC
1 - 0
BAR
26%
25%
49%
|
19 | 26 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 sep. 2014 |
REC
2 - 2
ROC
82%
12%
6%
|
19 | 29 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 sep. 2014 |
COR
1 - 0
ROC
79%
14%
7%
|
19 | 30 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 sep. 2014 |
ROC
1 - 2
CAB
13%
21%
67%
|
19 | 37 | 18 | 0 |