Análisis CD Alcalá vs Roteña
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
75.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.31
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.4%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
16.3%
Empate
0-0
5.3%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
16.3%
8.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.63
Goles esperados
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-12%
+13%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
CD Alcalá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 dic. 2015 |
ALC
2 - 1
CAB
53%
24%
23%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 dic. 2015 |
LEB
0 - 0
ALC
26%
25%
49%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 dic. 2015 |
ALC
3 - 0
BAR
62%
22%
16%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 nov. 2015 |
CON
0 - 2
ALC
34%
26%
40%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 nov. 2015 |
ALC
3 - 0
SRO
41%
26%
33%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | +2 |
Partidos
Roteña
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 dic. 2015 |
SAN
1 - 1
UDR
82%
12%
5%
|
20 | 41 | 21 | 0 |
| 13 dic. 2015 |
UDR
3 - 0
LUC
15%
22%
64%
|
16 | 32 | 16 | +4 |
| 08 dic. 2015 |
ARC
2 - 1
UDR
80%
14%
6%
|
17 | 33 | 16 | -1 |
| 29 nov. 2015 |
UDR
0 - 5
SAN
10%
19%
71%
|
18 | 47 | 29 | -1 |
| 22 nov. 2015 |
UTR
4 - 3
UDR
83%
12%
6%
|
18 | 31 | 13 | 0 |