Análisis CD Alcalá vs Tomelloso
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
28.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.91
Goles esperados
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.4%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
6%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.8%
30.1%
Empate
0-0
12.9%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30.1%
41.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.15
Goles esperados
0-1
14.7%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
23.8%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
CD Alcalá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 ene. 2005 |
RJA
1 - 0
ALC
65%
21%
13%
|
38 | 51 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 ene. 2005 |
ALC
1 - 0
ECI
22%
26%
52%
|
37 | 54 | 17 | +1 |
| 16 ene. 2005 |
ALC
0 - 1
AGD
22%
28%
50%
|
37 | 60 | 23 | 0 |
| 09 ene. 2005 |
UBC
1 - 0
ALC
69%
20%
11%
|
37 | 58 | 21 | 0 |
| 19 dic. 2004 |
ALC
0 - 2
DBN
31%
25%
44%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | -1 |
Partidos
Tomelloso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 ene. 2005 |
TOM
2 - 0
CDL
35%
30%
35%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 ene. 2005 |
LOR
1 - 1
TOM
72%
18%
10%
|
46 | 61 | 15 | +1 |
| 16 ene. 2005 |
ALG
3 - 3
TOM
60%
25%
15%
|
46 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 ene. 2005 |
TOM
1 - 1
TAL
41%
29%
30%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 dic. 2004 |
CDZ
0 - 0
TOM
50%
28%
22%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | 0 |