Análisis CD Alcalá vs Lebrijana
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
60.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.95
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.6%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
21.5%
Empate
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
17.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.95
Goles esperados
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-12%
+19%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
CD Alcalá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 abr. 2016 |
BAR
4 - 0
ALC
24%
26%
51%
|
44 | 30 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 abr. 2016 |
ALC
4 - 1
CON
74%
17%
9%
|
43 | 28 | 15 | +1 |
| 17 abr. 2016 |
SRO
0 - 2
ALC
29%
27%
44%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | +1 |
| 03 abr. 2016 |
CEU
2 - 0
ALC
23%
27%
50%
|
44 | 33 | 11 | -2 |
| 27 mar. 2016 |
ALC
3 - 1
CRD
30%
26%
44%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | +2 |
Partidos
Lebrijana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 may. 2016 |
LEB
1 - 0
SAN
20%
24%
57%
|
31 | 45 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 abr. 2016 |
LUC
0 - 2
LEB
16%
21%
63%
|
30 | 18 | 12 | +1 |
| 17 abr. 2016 |
LEB
1 - 1
ARC
41%
26%
34%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 abr. 2016 |
SAN
3 - 3
LEB
75%
16%
9%
|
30 | 44 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 abr. 2016 |
LEB
2 - 0
UTR
46%
25%
30%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | +2 |