Análisis CD Alcalá vs Marbella FC
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
29.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.98
Goles esperados
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.8%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.8%
28.9%
Empate
0-0
11.2%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.9%
41.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.21
Goles esperados
0-1
13.6%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
12%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+2%
+10%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
CD Alcalá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 may. 2005 |
JER
0 - 0
ALC
49%
28%
23%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 abr. 2005 |
ALC
1 - 0
EXT
30%
29%
41%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | +1 |
| 17 abr. 2005 |
SEV
1 - 1
ALC
62%
23%
15%
|
45 | 60 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 abr. 2005 |
MEL
0 - 2
ALC
65%
22%
13%
|
43 | 54 | 11 | +2 |
| 03 abr. 2005 |
ALC
1 - 1
CDL
30%
29%
41%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | +1 |
Partidos
Marbella FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 may. 2005 |
MAR
3 - 1
CDL
52%
25%
23%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 abr. 2005 |
LOR
5 - 0
MAR
63%
21%
16%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 abr. 2005 |
MAR
1 - 1
ALG
53%
26%
21%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 abr. 2005 |
TAL
0 - 0
MAR
34%
30%
37%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 abr. 2005 |
MAR
1 - 1
CDZ
63%
22%
16%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |